Fight Night Combat - Lukas Bonauer

Lukas Bonauer

Full name:	Lukas Bonauer
Current rank:	14	since Oct. 11, 2021
Highest Rank:	14	first reached Oct. 11, 2021 (3 weeks in total)
2021 race rank:	13
2020:	34
2019:	25
2018:	44
2017:	=268
Titles/finals:	1/3
Elo Rating:	1555

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20211008	Halle 2021	round of 8	Luke Burrage	1563	1837	-274	17.1 %	28.6 %	+11.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	44	1555	-8
20210925	HJW 2021	round of 8	Paula Mühlmeyer	1595	1446	+149	70.2 %	0.0 %	-70.2 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	45	1563	-32
20210820	CoastCon 2021	third place match	Sebastian Koßmehl	1629	1453	+176	73.4 %	28.6 %	-44.8 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	45	1595	-34
20210820	CoastCon 2021	semi-final	Stephan Cipra	1657	1593	+64	59.1 %	16.7 %	-42.4 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	46	1629	-28
20210820	CoastCon 2021	round of 8	Paula Mühlmeyer	1646	1461	+185	74.4 %	62.5 %	-11.9 %	Win	Won	-	46	1657	+11
20210619	Hannover 2021	final	Kilian Maidhof	1662	1788	-126	32.6 %	16.7 %	-16.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	47	1646	-16
20210619	Hannover 2021	semi-final	Andreas Braun	1624	1875	-251	19.1 %	55.6 %	+36.5 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	47	1662	+38
20210619	Hannover 2021	round of 8	Sebastian Koßmehl	1614	1403	+211	77.1 %	55.6 %	-21.6 %	Win	Won	-	48	1624	+10
20200820	CoastCon 2020	final	Kilian Maidhof	1631	1739	-108	34.9 %	28.6 %	-6.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	48	1614	-17
20200820	CoastCon 2020	semi-final	Paula Mühlmeyer	1618	1447	+171	72.8 %	71.4 %	-1.4 %	Win	Won	-	49	1631	+13
20200820	CoastCon 2020	round of 8	Wiebke Schnapper	1608	1384	+224	78.4 %	71.4 %	-7.0 %	Win	Won	-	50	1618	+10
20191115	Nuernberg 2019	round of 8	Andreas Braun	1619	1864	-245	19.6 %	44.4 %	+24.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	51	1608	-11
20191115	Nuernberg 2019	round of 16	Alexander Armbruster	1600	1520	+80	61.3 %	55.6 %	-5.8 %	Win	Won	-	51	1619	+19
20191101	Cottbus 2019	final	Stephan Cipra	1572	1606	-34	45.1 %	55.6 %	+10.4 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	52	1600	+28
20191101	Cottbus 2019	semi-final	Felix Eschrich	1550	1498	+52	57.4 %	71.4 %	+14.0 %	Win	Won	-	53	1572	+22
20191101	Cottbus 2019	round of 8	Melanie Tuschler	1525	1500 P	+25	53.6 %	71.4 %	+17.8 %	Win	Won	-	54	1550	+25
20191005	Durach 2019	third place match	Andi Nitsche	1499	1487	+12	51.7 %	62.5 %	+10.8 %	Win	Won	-	55	1525	+26
20191005	Durach 2019	semi-final	Tilman Sinning	1526	1544	-18	47.4 %	16.7 %	-30.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1499	-27
20191005	Durach 2019	round of 8	Jakob Thomas	1498	1500 P	-2	49.7 %	62.5 %	+12.8 %	Lose	Won	Win	56	1526	+28
20190913	Berlin 2019	round of 8	Andreas Braun	1505	1858	-353	11.6 %	16.7 %	+5.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1498	-7
20190913	Berlin 2019	round of 16	Isabell Stroben	1479	1444	+35	55.0 %	62.5 %	+7.5 %	Win	Won	-	58	1505	+26
20190102	Passout 2019	third place match	Nicki Cohrs	1451	1428	+23	53.3 %	100.0 %	+46.7 %	Win	Won	-	60	1479	+28
20190102	Passout 2019	semi-final	Andreas Braun	1459	1804	-345	12.1 %	44.4 %	+32.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	61	1451	-8
20190102	Passout 2019	round of 8	Sebastian Bild	1428	1432 P	-4	49.4 %	71.4 %	+22.0 %	Lose	Won	Win	62	1459	+31
20181103	Wuerzburg 2018	round of 8	Tim Endres	1461	1453 P	+8	51.2 %	37.5 %	-13.7 %	Win	Lost	Loss	63	1428	-33
20180929	HJW 2018	round of 8	Junis El-Sarout	1486	1568	-82	38.4 %	0.0 %	-38.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1461	-25
20180929	HJW 2018	round of 16	Max Bilau	1452	1467 P	-15	47.8 %	83.3 %	+35.5 %	Lose	Won	Win	66	1486	+34
20180405	BJC 2018 Canterbury	round of 8	Cameron Ford	1467	1694	-227	21.3 %	0.0 %	-21.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	68	1452	-15
20180405	BJC 2018 Canterbury	round of 16	Jon Relf	1429 P	1465	-36	44.8 %	55.6 %	+10.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	70	1467	+38
20180224	Gluehwein 2018	round of 8	Sebastian Martini	1455 P	1556	-101	35.9 %	28.6 %	-7.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1429 P	-26
20171001	Durach 2017	round of 8	Lars Lehmann	1500 P	1429	+71	60.1 %	37.5 %	-22.6 %	Win	Lost	Loss	74	1455 P	-45