Fight Night Combat - Mark Pender-Bare

Mark Pender-Bare

Full name:	Mark Pender-Bare
Current rank:	465	since Oct. 12, 2020
Highest Rank:	41	first reached Nov. 28, 2016 (6 weeks in total)
2019:	73
2018:	68
2017:	58
2016:	49
2015:	98
2014:	=196
Titles/finals:	0/0
Elo Rating:	1339

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20191005	Cambridge 2019	third place match	Jamie Tucker-Foltz	1355	1502 P	-147	30.0 %	44.4 %	+14.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	50	1339	-16
20191005	Cambridge 2019	semi-final	Jon Peat	1363	1671	-308	14.5 %	16.7 %	+2.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	51	1355	-8
20191005	Cambridge 2019	round of 8	Nathaniel Arkor	1326	1500 P	-174	26.9 %	100.0 %	+73.1 %	Lose	Won	Win	51	1363	+37
20190209	Bath UpChuck 2019	round of 8	Daniel Siegmund	1343	1477	-134	31.6 %	44.4 %	+12.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	52	1326	-17
20181117	Leeds 2018	third place match	Phil Turner	1311	1392	-81	38.5 %	62.5 %	+24.0 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	53	1343	+32
20181117	Leeds 2018	semi-final	Felix Suerbe	1332	1417	-85	38.0 %	0.0 %	-38.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	54	1311	-21
20181117	Leeds 2018	round of 8	Nick Emmerson	1298	1393	-95	36.7 %	55.6 %	+18.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	55	1332	+34
20180803	EJC 2018 Azores	round of 32	Jasper Moens	1306	1616	-310	14.4 %	0.0 %	-14.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1298	-8
20180405	BJC 2018 Canterbury	round of 16	Jon Peat	1312	1686	-374	10.4 %	28.6 %	+18.2 %	Lose	Lost	-	56	1306	-6
20171118	Leeds 2017	round of 8	Cameron Ford	1323	1590	-267	17.7 %	0.0 %	-17.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1312	-11
20171007	Cambridge 2017	round of 8	Brook Roberts	1330	1692	-362	11.1 %	16.7 %	+5.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	58	1323	-7
20170429	Leicester 2017	round of 8	Ieuan Evans	1369	1274	+95	63.3 %	44.4 %	-18.9 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	60	1330	-39
20170225	Bath UpChuck 2017	round of 8	Janion Nevill	1391	1494 P	-103	35.6 %	37.5 %	+1.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	61	1369	-22
20161119	Leeds 2016	round of 8	Dan Wood	1403	1665	-262	18.1 %	16.7 %	-1.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	62	1391	-12
20161001	Cambridge 2016	round of 8	Matthew Greeny	1434	1443 P	-9	48.7 %	16.7 %	-32.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	63	1403	-31
20161001	Cambridge 2016	round of 16	Callie Lawrie	1398	1439	-41	44.1 %	80.0 %	+35.9 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	65	1434	+36
20160401	BJC 2016 Perth	round of 16	Luke Burrage	1403	1854	-451	6.9 %	0.0 %	-6.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	66	1398	-5
20160220	Bath UpChuck 2016	round of 8	Janion Nevill	1431	1500 P	-69	40.2 %	37.5 %	-2.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	68	1403	-28
20160123	Chocfest 2016	round of 8	Jon Peat	1451 P	1617	-166	27.8 %	14.3 %	-13.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1431	-20
20151121	Leeds 2015	round of 8	Brook Roberts	1467 P	1690	-223	21.7 %	16.7 %	-5.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1451 P	-16
20150221	Bath UpChuck 2015	round of 8	Jon Peat	1500 P	1545	-45	43.6 %	14.3 %	-29.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	74	1467 P	-33