Fight Night Combat - Marius Thies

Marius Thies

Full name:	Marius Thies
Current rank:	-	since Jan. 25, 2021
Highest Rank:	23	first reached May 20, 2019 (1 week in total)
2019:	50
2018:	30
2017:	272
Titles/finals:	0/2
Elo Rating:	1627

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20190808	EJC 2019 Newark	round of 32	Vašek Peca	1645	1760	-115	34.0 %	37.5 %	+3.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	51	1627	-18
20190413	Dortmund 2019	final	Andreas Braun	1659	1840	-181	26.1 %	28.6 %	+2.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	52	1645	-14
20190413	Dortmund 2019	semi-final	Sebastian Martini	1636	1593	+43	56.2 %	83.3 %	+27.2 %	Win	Won	-	53	1659	+23
20190413	Dortmund 2019	round of 8	Markus Utke	1592	1851	-259	18.4 %	62.5 %	+44.1 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	54	1636	+44
20190302	Oldenburg 2019	third place match	Sebastian Martini	1562	1594	-32	45.4 %	55.6 %	+10.1 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	55	1592	+30
20190302	Oldenburg 2019	semi-final	Kilian Maidhof	1590	1592	-2	49.7 %	28.6 %	-21.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1562	-28
20190302	Oldenburg 2019	round of 8	Max Bilau	1573	1429 P	+144	69.6 %	100.0 %	+30.4 %	Win	Won	-	56	1590	+17
20180929	HJW 2018	third place match	Sander Vanpraet	1556	1420	+136	68.6 %	62.5 %	-6.1 %	Win	Won	-	57	1573	+17
20180929	HJW 2018	semi-final	Bas Van de Kerkhof	1584	1606	-22	46.8 %	37.5 %	-9.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	58	1556	-28
20180929	HJW 2018	round of 8	Simon À Campo	1559	1512	+47	56.7 %	83.3 %	+26.6 %	Win	Won	-	60	1584	+25
20180622	Aachen 2018	third place match	Isabell Stroben	1533	1483	+50	57.1 %	71.4 %	+14.3 %	Win	Won	-	61	1559	+26
20180622	Aachen 2018	semi-final	Andreas Braun	1550	1723	-173	27.0 %	28.6 %	+1.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	62	1533	-17
20180622	Aachen 2018	round of 8	Tilman Sinning	1517	1535	-18	47.4 %	62.5 %	+15.1 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	63	1550	+33
20180324	Dortmund 2018	final	Isabell Stroben	1558	1474	+84	61.9 %	16.7 %	-45.2 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	65	1517	-41
20180324	Dortmund 2018	semi-final	Sebastian Martini	1518	1594	-76	39.2 %	55.6 %	+16.3 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	66	1558	+40
20180324	Dortmund 2018	round of 8	Lars Lehmann	1487 P	1464	+23	53.3 %	55.6 %	+2.3 %	Win	Won	-	68	1518	+31
20180224	Tropical Islands 2018	round of 8	Luke Burrage	1496 P	1842	-346	12.0 %	16.7 %	+4.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1487 P	-9
20180224	Tropical Islands 2018	round of 16	Tobias Horstmann	1454 P	1517	-63	41.0 %	60.0 %	+19.0 %	Lose	Won	Win	72	1496 P	+42
20180210	Ludwigshafen 2018	round of 8	Stephan Cipra	1500 P	1420	+80	61.3 %	0.0 %	-61.3 %	Win	Lost	Loss	74	1454 P	-46