Fight Night Combat - Paweł Witczak

Paweł Witczak

Full name:	Paweł Witczak
Current rank:	-	since Feb. 12, 2018
Highest Rank:	15	first reached Jan. 7, 2013 (17 weeks in total)
2017:	186
2016:	=30
2015:	=150
2014:	=51
Titles/finals:	0/1
Elo Rating:	1481

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20170210	WJW 2017 Heerlen	round of 8	Jan Poolen	1508	1525	-17	47.6 %	28.6 %	-19.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	56	1481	-27
20160804	EJC 2016 Almere	round of 32	Florian Marienfeld	1533	1584	-51	42.7 %	28.6 %	-14.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1508	-25
20160618	Eindhoven 2016	final	Simon À Campo	1562	1570	-8	48.8 %	37.5 %	-11.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	58	1533	-29
20160618	Eindhoven 2016	semi-final	Sander Vanpraet	1537	1486	+51	57.3 %	83.3 %	+26.0 %	Win	Won	-	60	1562	+25
20160618	Eindhoven 2016	round of 8	Jakob Ganser	1511	1463 P	+48	56.9 %	83.3 %	+26.5 %	Win	Won	-	61	1537	+26
20160515	Aachen 2016	round of 8	Manuel Mitasch	1552	1438 P	+114	65.8 %	33.3 %	-32.5 %	Win	Lost	Loss	62	1511	-41
20160226	WJW 2016 Heerlen	round of 8	Andreas Braun	1570	1738	-168	27.5 %	40.0 %	+12.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	63	1552	-18
20160226	WJW 2016 Heerlen	round of 16	Jordy Sanchez	1541	1506	+35	55.0 %	75.0 %	+20.0 %	Win	Won	-	65	1570	+29
20150516	Lublin 2015	round of 8	Emil Dahl	1567	1650 P	-83	38.3 %	0.0 %	-38.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	66	1541	-26
20150516	Lublin 2015	round of 16	Krzysztof Czarski	1537 P	1500 P	+37	55.3 %	100.0 %	+44.7 %	Win	Won	-	68	1567	+30
20140510	Lublin 2014	third place match	Jacek Kwapiński	1501 P	1515 P	-14	48.0 %	100.0 %	+52.0 %	Lose	Won	Win	70	1537 P	+36
20140510	Lublin 2014	semi-final	Lauge Benjaminsen	1537 P	1537 P	0	50.0 %	44.4 %	-5.6 %	50/50	Lost	-	72	1501 P	-36
20140510	Lublin 2014	round of 8	Jakub Szwed	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	55.6 %	+5.6 %	50/50	Won	-	74	1537 P	+37