Fight Night Combat

Twinkle

Full name:	Twinkle
Current rank:	-	since Jan. 22, 2018
Highest Rank:	26	first reached May 11, 2015 (1 week in total)
2017:	=268
2016:	82
2015:	39
2014:	35
Titles/finals:	0/0
Elo Rating:	1388

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20170128	Chocfest 2017	round of 8	Cameron Ford	1406	1528	-122	33.1 %	28.6 %	-4.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	54	1388	-18
20161001	Cambridge 2016	round of 16	Tom Whitfield	1431	1463 P	-32	45.4 %	20.0 %	-25.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1406	-25
20160401	BJC 2016 Perth	round of 16	Brook Roberts	1442	1702	-260	18.3 %	16.7 %	-1.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	55	1431	-11
20151121	Leeds 2015	third place match	Callie Lawrie	1406	1509 P	-103	35.6 %	71.4 %	+35.8 %	Lose	Won	Win	56	1442	+36
20151121	Leeds 2015	semi-final	Brook Roberts	1416	1699	-283	16.4 %	16.7 %	+0.3 %	Lose	Lost	-	57	1406	-10
20151121	Leeds 2015	round of 8	Phil Turner	1378	1500 P	-122	33.1 %	55.6 %	+22.4 %	Lose	Won	Win	58	1416	+38
20150926	Cambridge 2015	round of 8	Jon Peat	1390	1641	-251	19.1 %	16.7 %	-2.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	60	1378	-12
20150509	Cumbria 2015	third place match	Cal Courtney	1413	1509 P	-96	36.5 %	45.5 %	+8.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	61	1390	-23
20150509	Cumbria 2015	semi-final	Josh Turner	1436	1538	-102	35.7 %	44.4 %	+8.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	62	1413	-23
20150509	Cumbria 2015	round of 8	Ieuan Evans	1396	1500 P	-104	35.5 %	100.0 %	+64.5 %	Lose	Won	Win	63	1436	+40
20150331	BJC 2015 Darton	round of 16	Sagi Bracha	1422	1500 P	-78	39.0 %	0.0 %	-39.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1396	-26
20150221	Bath UpChuck 2015	third place match	Danny Cooper	1457	1443	+14	52.0 %	44.4 %	-7.6 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	66	1422	-35
20150221	Bath UpChuck 2015	semi-final	Jon Peat	1483	1567	-84	38.1 %	14.3 %	-23.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	68	1457	-26
20150221	Bath UpChuck 2015	round of 8	Karl Schlinger	1443 P	1497 P	-54	42.3 %	53.8 %	+11.6 %	Lose	Won	Win	70	1483	+40
20150131	Chocfest 2015	round of 8	Dan Wood	1471 P	1557	-86	37.9 %	25.0 %	-12.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1443 P	-28
20140125	Chocfest 2014	round of 8	Dave Leahy	1500 P	1578 P	-78	39.0 %	0.0 %	-39.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	74	1471 P	-29