Fight Night Combat - Michał Kozak

Michał Kozak

Full name:	Michał Kozak
Current rank:	unranked	since July 29, 2024
Highest Rank:	8th	first reached July 22, 2019 (1 week in total)
Highest Year-End Rank:	14th	(2016)
Titles/finals:	6/10
Elo Rating:	1722

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click on column headers to sort the table.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
2023‑07‑28	Carnaval Sztukmistrzow 2023	third place match	Brian Simoncin	Lost	1755	1529 P	+226	78.6 %	16.7 %	-61.9 %	Win	Lost	Loss	41	1722	-33
2023‑07‑28	Carnaval Sztukmistrzow 2023	semi-final	Krzysztof Kostera	Lost	1774	1802	-28	46.0 %	0.0 %	-46.0 %	Lose	Lost	-	41	1755	-19
2023‑07‑28	Carnaval Sztukmistrzow 2023	round of 8	Ian Deady	Won	1764	1582	+182	74.0 %	62.5 %	-11.5 %	Win	Won	-	41	1774	+10
2022‑07‑30	Carnaval Sztukmistrzow 2022	final	Krzysztof Kostera	Lost	1785	1798	-13	48.1 %	44.4 %	-3.7 %	Lose	Lost	-	42	1764	-21
2022‑07‑30	Carnaval Sztukmistrzow 2022	semi-final	Marcin Borkowski	Won	1779	1471	+308	85.5 %	62.5 %	-23.0 %	Win	Won	-	42	1785	+6
2022‑07‑30	Carnaval Sztukmistrzow 2022	round of 8	Jakub Gadaj	Won	1773	1475 P	+298	84.8 %	100.0 %	+15.2 %	Win	Won	-	43	1779	+6
2019‑05‑23	Lublin 2019	final	Jakub Czekała	Won	1759	1634	+125	67.3 %	83.3 %	+16.1 %	Win	Won	-	43	1773	+14
2019‑05‑23	Lublin 2019	semi-final	Jakub Szwed	Won	1740	1706	+34	54.9 %	55.6 %	+0.7 %	Win	Won	-	44	1759	+19
2019‑05‑23	Lublin 2019	round of 8	Marcin Borkowski	Won	1732	1477	+255	81.3 %	83.3 %	+2.1 %	Win	Won	-	44	1740	+8
2019‑01‑26	Ostroda Winter 2019	final	Jakub Czekała	Won	1714	1645	+69	59.8 %	62.5 %	+2.7 %	Win	Won	-	45	1732	+18
2019‑01‑26	Ostroda Winter 2019	semi-final	Krzysztof Kostera	Won	1703	1507 P	+196	75.6 %	62.5 %	-13.1 %	Win	Won	-	45	1714	+11
2019‑01‑26	Ostroda Winter 2019	round of 8	Łukasz -Otto- Wójcik	Won	1695	1431 P	+264	82.0 %	100.0 %	+18.0 %	Win	Won	-	46	1703	+8
2018‑08‑23	Ostroda 2018	final	Tomasz Strojek	Lost	1730	1546	+184	74.3 %	44.4 %	-29.8 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	46	1695	-35
2018‑08‑23	Ostroda 2018	semi-final	Jakub Czekała	Won	1714	1611	+103	64.4 %	83.3 %	+18.9 %	Win	Won	-	47	1730	+16
2018‑08‑23	Ostroda 2018	round of 8	Mateusz -Hash- Czwojdzinski	Won	1706	1442 P	+264	82.0 %	83.3 %	+1.3 %	Win	Won	-	47	1714	+8
2018‑08‑11	OFCA 2018	final	Amadeusz Kołak	Won	1685	1655	+30	54.3 %	55.6 %	+1.2 %	Win	Won	-	48	1706	+21
2018‑08‑11	OFCA 2018	semi-final	Wojciech Opara	Won	1671	1527 P	+144	69.6 %	62.5 %	-7.1 %	Win	Won	-	48	1685	+14
2018‑08‑11	OFCA 2018	round of 8	Maciej Czarski	Won	1660	1463 P	+197	75.7 %	62.5 %	-13.2 %	Win	Won	-	49	1671	+11
2018‑05‑26	Lublin 2018	third place match	Daniel Chlibiuk	Won	1649	1431	+218	77.8 %	71.4 %	-6.4 %	Win	Won	-	50	1660	+11
2018‑05‑26	Lublin 2018	semi-final	Jakub Szwed	Lost	1676	1662	+14	52.0 %	37.5 %	-14.5 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	51	1649	-27
2018‑05‑26	Lublin 2018	round of 8	Marcin Borkowski	Won	1662	1495	+167	72.3 %	71.4 %	-0.9 %	Win	Won	-	51	1676	+14
2017‑09‑16	Gdynia 2017	final	Jakub Czekała	Lost	1701	1526 P	+175	73.3 %	16.7 %	-56.6 %	Win	Lost	Loss	52	1662	-39
2017‑09‑16	Gdynia 2017	semi-final	Jerzy Kozłowski	Won	1688	1497	+191	75.0 %	100.0 %	+25.0 %	Win	Won	-	53	1701	+13
2017‑08‑17	Ostroda 2017	final	Artur Perskawiec	Won	1663	1642	+21	53.0 %	83.3 %	+30.3 %	Win	Won	-	54	1688	+25
2017‑08‑17	Ostroda 2017	semi-final	Tomasz Strojek	Won	1647	1500 P	+147	70.0 %	62.5 %	-7.5 %	Win	Won	-	55	1663	+16
2017‑08‑17	Ostroda 2017	round of 8	Julian Waglewski	Won	1630	1500 P	+130	67.9 %	62.5 %	-5.4 %	Win	Won	-	55	1647	+17
2017‑01‑28	Ostroda Winter 2017	final	Amadeusz Kołak	Lost	1660	1639	+21	53.0 %	28.6 %	-24.4 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	56	1630	-30
2017‑01‑28	Ostroda Winter 2017	semi-final	Maciej Stankiewicz	Won	1643	1503 P	+140	69.1 %	100.0 %	+30.9 %	Win	Won	-	57	1660	+17
2017‑01‑28	Ostroda Winter 2017	round of 8	Jakub Czekała	Won	1624	1500 P	+124	67.1 %	100.0 %	+32.9 %	Win	Won	-	58	1643	+19
2016‑09‑18	Gdynia 2016	final	Jerzy Kozłowski	Won	1601	1523	+78	61.0 %	55.6 %	-5.5 %	Win	Won	-	60	1624	+23
2016‑09‑18	Gdynia 2016	semi-final	Krystian Kucharski	Won	1577	1505 P	+72	60.2 %	83.3 %	+23.1 %	Win	Won	-	61	1601	+24
2016‑09‑18	Gdynia 2016	round of 8	Adam Opara	Won	1557	1430 P	+127	67.5 %	60.0 %	-7.5 %	Win	Won	-	62	1577	+20
2016‑08‑04	EJC 2016 Almere	round of 32	Markus Utke	Lost	1580	1683	-103	35.6 %	16.7 %	-18.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	63	1557	-23
2016‑07‑08	Ostroda 2016	final	Rafał Polakowski	Won	1546	1569 P	-23	46.7 %	71.4 %	+24.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	65	1580	+34
2016‑07‑08	Ostroda 2016	semi-final	Kamil Malecki	Won	1512	1523	-11	48.4 %	71.4 %	+23.0 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	66	1546	+34
2016‑07‑08	Ostroda 2016	round of 8	Łukasz -Otto- Wójcik	Won	1480 P	1464 P	+16	52.3 %	100.0 %	+47.7 %	Win	Won	-	68	1512	+32
2016‑05‑20	Lublin 2016	round of 8	Artur Perskawiec	Lost	1507 P	1588	-81	38.5 %	25.0 %	-13.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1480 P	-27
2016‑05‑20	Lublin 2016	round of 16	Kamil Malecki	Won	1465 P	1530 P	-65	40.8 %	60.0 %	+19.2 %	Lose	Won	Win	72	1507 P	+42
2015‑11‑27	Carnaval Sztukmistrzow 2015	round of 8	Artur Perskawiec	Lost	1500 P	1527	-27	46.1 %	0.0 %	-46.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	74	1465 P	-35