Fight Night Combat - Michał Kozak

Michał Kozak

Full name:	Michał Kozak
Current rank:	51	since Jan. 27, 2020
Highest Rank:	8	first reached July 22, 2019 (1 week in total)
2019:	=24
2018:	25
2017:	24
2016:	14
2015:	=254
Titles/finals:	6/9
Elo Rating:	1773

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20190523	Lublin 2019	final	Jakub Czekała	1759	1634	+125	67.3 %	83.3 %	+16.1 %	Win	Won	-	43	1773	+14
20190523	Lublin 2019	semi-final	Jakub Szwed	1740	1706	+34	54.9 %	55.6 %	+0.7 %	Win	Won	-	44	1759	+19
20190523	Lublin 2019	round of 8	Marcin Borkowski	1732	1477	+255	81.3 %	83.3 %	+2.1 %	Win	Won	-	44	1740	+8
20190126	Ostroda Winter 2019	final	Jakub Czekała	1714	1645	+69	59.8 %	62.5 %	+2.7 %	Win	Won	-	45	1732	+18
20190126	Ostroda Winter 2019	semi-final	Krzysztof Kostera	1703	1507 P	+196	75.6 %	62.5 %	-13.1 %	Win	Won	-	45	1714	+11
20190126	Ostroda Winter 2019	round of 8	Łukasz -Otto- Wójcik	1695	1431 P	+264	82.0 %	100.0 %	+18.0 %	Win	Won	-	46	1703	+8
20180823	Ostroda 2018	final	Tomasz Strojek	1730	1546	+184	74.3 %	44.4 %	-29.8 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	46	1695	-35
20180823	Ostroda 2018	semi-final	Jakub Czekała	1714	1611	+103	64.4 %	83.3 %	+18.9 %	Win	Won	-	47	1730	+16
20180823	Ostroda 2018	round of 8	Mateusz -Hash- Czwojdzinski	1706	1442 P	+264	82.0 %	83.3 %	+1.3 %	Win	Won	-	47	1714	+8
20180811	Olesnica 2018	final	Amadeusz Kołak	1685	1655	+30	54.3 %	55.6 %	+1.2 %	Win	Won	-	48	1706	+21
20180811	Olesnica 2018	semi-final	Wojciech Opara	1671	1527 P	+144	69.6 %	62.5 %	-7.1 %	Win	Won	-	48	1685	+14
20180811	Olesnica 2018	round of 8	Maciej Czarski	1660	1463 P	+197	75.7 %	62.5 %	-13.2 %	Win	Won	-	49	1671	+11
20180526	Lublin 2018	third place match	Daniel Chlibiuk	1649	1431	+218	77.8 %	71.4 %	-6.4 %	Win	Won	-	50	1660	+11
20180526	Lublin 2018	semi-final	Jakub Szwed	1676	1662	+14	52.0 %	37.5 %	-14.5 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	51	1649	-27
20180526	Lublin 2018	round of 8	Marcin Borkowski	1662	1495	+167	72.3 %	71.4 %	-0.9 %	Win	Won	-	51	1676	+14
20170916	Gdynia 2017	final	Jakub Czekała	1701	1526 P	+175	73.3 %	16.7 %	-56.6 %	Win	Lost	Loss	52	1662	-39
20170916	Gdynia 2017	semi-final	Jerzy Kozłowski	1688	1497	+191	75.0 %	100.0 %	+25.0 %	Win	Won	-	53	1701	+13
20170817	Ostroda 2017	final	Artur Perskawiec	1663	1642	+21	53.0 %	83.3 %	+30.3 %	Win	Won	-	54	1688	+25
20170817	Ostroda 2017	semi-final	Tomasz Strojek	1647	1500 P	+147	70.0 %	62.5 %	-7.5 %	Win	Won	-	55	1663	+16
20170817	Ostroda 2017	round of 8	Julian Waglewski	1630	1500 P	+130	67.9 %	62.5 %	-5.4 %	Win	Won	-	55	1647	+17
20170128	Ostroda Winter 2017	final	Amadeusz Kołak	1660	1639	+21	53.0 %	28.6 %	-24.4 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	56	1630	-30
20170128	Ostroda Winter 2017	semi-final	Maciej Stankiewicz	1643	1503 P	+140	69.1 %	100.0 %	+30.9 %	Win	Won	-	57	1660	+17
20170128	Ostroda Winter 2017	round of 8	Jakub Czekała	1624	1500 P	+124	67.1 %	100.0 %	+32.9 %	Win	Won	-	58	1643	+19
20160918	Gdynia 2016	final	Jerzy Kozłowski	1601	1523	+78	61.0 %	55.6 %	-5.5 %	Win	Won	-	60	1624	+23
20160918	Gdynia 2016	semi-final	Krystian Kucharski	1577	1505 P	+72	60.2 %	83.3 %	+23.1 %	Win	Won	-	61	1601	+24
20160918	Gdynia 2016	round of 8	Adam Opara	1557	1430 P	+127	67.5 %	60.0 %	-7.5 %	Win	Won	-	62	1577	+20
20160804	EJC 2016 Almere	round of 32	Markus Utke	1580	1683	-103	35.6 %	16.7 %	-18.9 %	Lose	Lost	-	63	1557	-23
20160708	Ostroda 2016	final	Rafał Polakowski	1546	1569 P	-23	46.7 %	71.4 %	+24.7 %	Lose	Won	Win	65	1580	+34
20160708	Ostroda 2016	semi-final	Kamil Malecki	1512	1523	-11	48.4 %	71.4 %	+23.0 %	Lose	Won	Upset Win	66	1546	+34
20160708	Ostroda 2016	round of 8	Łukasz -Otto- Wójcik	1480 P	1464 P	+16	52.3 %	100.0 %	+47.7 %	Win	Won	-	68	1512	+32
20160520	Lublin 2016	round of 8	Artur Perskawiec	1507 P	1588	-81	38.5 %	25.0 %	-13.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1480 P	-27
20160520	Lublin 2016	round of 16	Kamil Malecki	1465 P	1530 P	-65	40.8 %	60.0 %	+19.2 %	Lose	Won	Win	72	1507 P	+42
20151127	Sztukmistrze Lublin 2015	round of 8	Artur Perskawiec	1500 P	1527	-27	46.1 %	0.0 %	-46.1 %	Lose	Lost	-	74	1465 P	-35