Alexandra Karsakova

Profile image of Alexandra Karsakova
Full name: Alexandra Karsakova
Current rank: 39 since June 21, 2021
Highest Rank: 38 first reached May 31, 2021 (3 weeks in total)
2021 race rank: 18
2020: 94
Titles/finals: 0/0
Elo Rating: 1516

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20210528 St Petersburg Kids Combat 2021 third place match
Kristina Vasukova
1482
1502 P
-20
47.1 %
71.4 %
+24.3 %
Lose
Won
Win
65
1516
+34
20210528 St Petersburg Kids Combat 2021 semi-final
Lera Dorofeeva
1509
1577
-68
40.3 %
16.7 %
-23.7 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1482
-27
20210528 St Petersburg Kids Combat 2021 round of 8
Ksenia Dmitrieva
1473 P
1500 P
-27
46.1 %
83.3 %
+37.2 %
Lose
Won
Win
68
1509
+36
20210501 Saint Petersburg Spring 2021 round of 8
Lera Dorofeeva
1511 P
1482
+29
54.2 %
0.0 %
-54.2 %
Win
Lost
Loss
70
1473 P
-38
20191201 Saint Petersburg 2019 round of 8
Ilya Polyakov
1537 P
1638
-101
35.9 %
16.7 %
-19.2 %
Lose
Lost
-
72
1511 P
-26
20191201 Saint Petersburg 2019 round of 16
Olga Orlova
1500 P
1500 P
0
50.0 %
100.0 %
+50.0 %
50/50
Won
-
74
1537 P
+37

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