Alex Larson

Profile image of Alex Larson
Full name: Alex Larson
Current rank: =58 since Sept. 27, 2021
Highest Rank: 58 first reached Sept. 27, 2021 (5 weeks in total)
2021 race rank: 55
2020: =181
2019: 185
2018: =285
Titles/finals: 0/0
Elo Rating: 1465

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date Tournament Round Opponent   Elo Rating
Player

Opponent

Difference
  Share of Points
Predicted

Actual

Difference
  Final Result
Predicted

Actual

Difference
K-Factor Next Elo Change
20210925 Portland 2021 third place match
Marvin Ong
1426
1498 P
-72
39.8 %
57.1 %
+17.4 %
Lose
Won
Win
65
1465
+39
20210925 Portland 2021 semi-final
Nick Bronson
1452
1537 P
-85
38.0 %
20.0 %
-18.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
66
1426
-26
20210925 Portland 2021 round of 8
Taylor Glenn
1410 P
1500 P
-90
37.3 %
57.1 %
+19.8 %
Lose
Won
Win
68
1452
+42
20200103 TurboFest 2020 round of 16
Austin Smith
1440 P
1500 P
-60
41.5 %
37.5 %
-4.0 %
Lose
Lost
-
70
1410 P
-30
20180716 IJA 2018 round of 16
Matthieu Chatelain
1478 P
1463 P
+15
52.2 %
0.0 %
-52.2 %
Win
Lost
Loss
72
1440 P
-38
20180716 IJA 2018 round of 32
Wes Peden
1500 P
1651
-151
29.5 %
0.0 %
-29.5 %
Lose
Lost
-
74
1478 P
-22

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