Fight Night Combat - Mark Williams

Mark Williams

Full name:	Mark Williams
Current rank:	27	since Oct. 11, 2021
Highest Rank:	13	first reached Jan. 18, 2021 (4 weeks in total)
2021 race rank:	26
2020:	=17
2019:	32
2018:	=74
2017:	=103
Titles/finals:	2/3
Elo Rating:	1671

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20210219	New Zealand 2021	third place match	Sam Kronfeld	1653	1528	+125	67.3 %	62.5 %	-4.8 %	Win	Won	-	55	1671	+18
20210219	New Zealand 2021	semi-final	Degge Jarvie	1683	1659	+24	53.4 %	44.4 %	-9.0 %	Win	Lost	Upset Loss	55	1653	-30
20210219	New Zealand 2021	round of 8	Simon West	1674	1398	+276	83.0 %	83.3 %	+0.3 %	Win	Won	-	56	1683	+9
20200130	New Zealand 2020	final	Sam Kronfeld	1654	1553 P	+101	64.1 %	58.3 %	-5.8 %	Win	Won	-	57	1674	+20
20200130	New Zealand 2020	semi-final	Craig McDermott	1634	1532	+102	64.3 %	71.4 %	+7.2 %	Win	Won	-	58	1654	+20
20200130	New Zealand 2020	round of 8	Mat Manamat	1614	1500 P	+114	65.8 %	100.0 %	+34.2 %	Win	Won	-	60	1634	+20
20190203	New Zealand 2019	final	Craig McDermott	1588	1537	+51	57.3 %	77.8 %	+20.5 %	Win	Won	-	61	1614	+26
20190203	New Zealand 2019	semi-final	Sam Kronfeld	1560	1537 P	+23	53.3 %	100.0 %	+46.7 %	Win	Won	-	62	1588	+28
20190203	New Zealand 2019	round of 8	Eric Bogel	1528	1537 P	-9	48.7 %	100.0 %	+51.3 %	Lose	Won	Win	63	1560	+32
20180217	New Zealand 2018	final	Zach Washer	1558 P	1586	-28	46.0 %	44.4 %	-1.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	65	1528	-30
20180217	New Zealand 2018	semi-final	Martin Gower	1524 P	1537 P	-13	48.1 %	100.0 %	+51.9 %	Lose	Won	Win	66	1558 P	+34
20180217	New Zealand 2018	round of 8	Hiroki Serikawa	1489 P	1500 P	-11	48.4 %	100.0 %	+51.6 %	Lose	Won	Win	68	1524 P	+35
20170304	New Zealand 2017	third place match	Joe Fisher	1521 P	1560 P	-39	44.4 %	28.6 %	-15.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	70	1489 P	-32
20170304	New Zealand 2017	semi-final	Julius Preu	1537 P	1755	-218	22.2 %	16.7 %	-5.5 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1521 P	-16
20170304	New Zealand 2017	round of 8	Kyle Johnson	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	71.4 %	+21.4 %	50/50	Won	-	74	1537 P	+37