Fight Night Combat - Josef Stiller

Josef Stiller

Full name:	Josef Stiller
Current rank:	-	since Sept. 9, 2019
Highest Rank:	32	first reached Feb. 16, 2015 (1 week in total)
2018:	=267
2016:	=101
2015:	=111
2014:	43
Titles/finals:	0/0
Elo Rating:	1425

Profile Tournaments Matches Rankings Rivalries

Elo Ratings per Match since January 2013

Choose a table: Match scores, player Elo ratings, player rankings.

A player's elo rating is considered provisional (P) until they have either completed six matches or played matches at at least three different tournaments.

The probability of winning is equal to the predicted share of points scored. A player rated 200 above another corresponds to a 76% chance of winning.

The K value is a development coefficient, and it reduces large swings in the ratings of established players. The K value reduces over time, similar to 538's elo ratings for tennis players: 250/((player's match count+15)**(0.4)))-10

Click table headers to sort.

Date	Tournament	Round	Opponent	Elo Rating Player	Opponent	Difference	Share of Points Predicted	Actual	Difference	Final Result Predicted	Actual	Difference	K-Factor	Next Elo	Change
20180908	Rastelli Festival 2018	round of 8	Alex Leymann	1450	1519	-69	40.2 %	50.0 %	+9.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	60	1425	-25
20180908	Rastelli Festival 2018	round of 16	Antonio Caggioni	1413	1500 P	-87	37.7 %	100.0 %	+62.3 %	Lose	Won	Win	61	1450	+37
20160827	Phoenix Fire Convention 2016	third place match	Michel Panzer	1438	1508 P	-70	40.1 %	37.5 %	-2.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	62	1413	-25
20160827	Phoenix Fire Convention 2016	semi-final	Jona Harnischmacher	1466	1511 P	-45	43.6 %	40.0 %	-3.6 %	Lose	Lost	-	63	1438	-28
20160827	Phoenix Fire Convention 2016	round of 8	Peter Theeg	1427	1500 P	-73	39.6 %	75.0 %	+35.4 %	Lose	Won	Win	65	1466	+39
20160427	Israel 2016	round of 8	Bar Mualem	1461	1460	+1	50.1 %			Win	Lost	Upset Loss	66	1427	-34
20150214	Tropical Islands 2015	round of 8	Luke Burrage	1470	1803	-333	12.8 %	0.0 %	-12.8 %	Lose	Lost	-	68	1461	-9
20150214	Tropical Islands 2015	round of 16	Arwed Weinhold	1428 P	1500 P	-72	39.8 %	75.0 %	+35.2 %	Lose	Won	Win	70	1470	+42
20141031	Halle 2014	round of 8	Fabio Zimmermann	1463 P	1474	-11	48.4 %	0.0 %	-48.4 %	Lose	Lost	-	72	1428 P	-35
20140912	Karlsruhe 2014	round of 16	Julian Heinrichs	1500 P	1500 P	0	50.0 %	0.0 %	-50.0 %	50/50	Lost	-	74	1463 P	-37